Nick Land and the Geist in the Machine

ParaLLM Construction, or, Investigative Reporting with Novel AI Use

AI Forecasting and AI for Forecasting

Implications of Large-Scale Test-Time Compute

What does AGI mean for poor countries?

Chris Best & Oliver Habryka: Noticing we're confused about media

Automating Big-Picture Strategy, with Lessons from RoastMyPost and LongTermWiki

How to Build a Dyson Sphere (Across 26+ orders of magnitude)

The Rise Fall and Rise of Roman Genetics

Marcus Abramovitch anti-debates Stephen Grugett: Are prediction markets good for anything?

The Rapid advance of AI in Math and Physics: Implications for Recursive Self-Improvement

Machine God - new AI documentary. Trailer + Q&A

I Want to Pay Forecasters to Keep AI Scientists+Strategists Honest

What should Anthropic do about Fable?

Eliezer & Kenny Easwaran: Decision Theory Discussion

Conspiracy Theories Part 1: Concepts and Priors

How I Learned to Stop Worrying about Global Warming and Love Agricultural Subsidies

How we built the AI forecasting system that is winning tournaments on Metaculus

How parties change: history and theory of evolving positions in American politics

Politically Confusing People discuss Alt Parenting

Many worlds, one token: the LLM that branches the multiverse

Attract the Romantic Partner for You Workshop (Pt2 Dating for Love)

Slow Friending (Come! It's Not Too Late To Meet the Most Interesting People At Lighthaven)

20 Years Inside Officiating: A Referee Explores Its Economics & Incentives

Turning $$$ into radiation (far-Uvc brainstorming session)

Person Do Thing: Sign Language Edition

Insect suffering is the biggest present issue in the world, in expectation

Forecasting with Futuur - Open Hour

infinite precision internet search

How to become the top Geoguessr player in the world

Hedging against your own obsolescence with options

Philanthropic Market Mechanisms & Coordination in the Age of AI

Patrick’s Mystery Session | Okay I Think I Figured It But I Still Don’t Know What Quite to Call It | But I’m Calling My Shot - This One Will Be A Banger

Betting Against the Loneliness Crisis

Video Game Archaeology: Parsing gibberish for fun and ???

Conspiracy Theories and The Ways of Bayes

Why you should consider running a university EA/AIS group

Recreational Electric Shocks Part 2: It's already Electric so Normal Boogaloo

Animal suffering is the worst thing in history

Trading geopolitical markets in the age of misinformation.

Make a website already!

Safe Muscle Growth Drugs, an update on Myostatin Inhibitors

Professional prediction market traders meetup

Where’d the Happy Go? Anhedonia discussion

Ethnically Chinese Meetup

How to Quit Porn the Easy Way (for the porn-free-curious)

Industrial Working Group - Semiconductors

Industrial Working Group - Energy & Grid

Sing dirty rounds from the 17th century

Lorxus Explains His PhD Thesis (~No Math Prereqs)

Give us your quick Manifest Testimonials/Thoughts

Secret Hitler, with prediction markets with repaired incentives

Jhana meditation meetup

MNX and the Future Economy — The Supercycle (supercycle.blog)

Manifest Recap Episode -- The Supercycle (supercycle.blog)

Small group discussion for Papal Election Simulation attendees

Walk to Catholic Mass @ Newman

(Reschedule) Group personal training /body work

♟️ Fast chess tournament

SIGN MY LANYARD!!!