Bayes Attic·Bayes House, Attic
How we built the AI forecasting system that is winning tournaments on Metaculus
- Built the top forecasting bot on Metaculus, Founded AI forecasting company Preseen, turned $35 into $1.9M+ on Kalshi. Effective altruist, vegan, animal advocate.
- VCo-Founder of Preseen -- building an AI forecasting platform.
44.4/45 attending (+9 waitlisted)
Chance I’d attend
We are the creators of Preseen, the AI forecasting tool that has won the Metaculus FutureEval bot tournament, placed third out of over 1,000 participants in the Spring 2026 Metaculus Cup, and has allowed us to turn $35 on Kalshi into over $1,900,000.
We will talk about what led us to build Preseen, what sets it apart, and what it takes to get AI to forecast significantly better than the models from OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google could do out of the box.