Marcus Abramovitch anti-debates Stephen Grugett: Are prediction markets good for anything?

Earn-to-give EA funding his giving through a crypto trading fund; ex-poker pro, top Manifold trader, and animal-welfare regrantor leading Manifund's Falcon Fund.

Cofounder & CEO of Manifold; now founding MNX, a decentralized futures exchange for trading the AI economy.

Lawful hedonist. Director of Goodheart Labs (AI Community Notes), Swift Centre forecaster, Manifold mod, prolific Twitter guy.